Tuesday, November 02, 2004

the 8:00 PM numbers

all right, a lot of speculation here, so take it with a grain of salt.

Florida: 139,000 vote difference in favor of Bush with 17% reporting. That bodes well--especially since you have to think that the first returns are the electronic returns, and most of those were down in the south of the state which is more closely aligned with the Democrats.

New Jersey declared for Kerry without any numbers supporting it. . .interesting but not surprising. Calling PA too close for a decision. NH has a 2500 vote favor to Kerry with only 3% reporting. In NC, with 2% reporting, Bush is up by a 2-to-1 margin. In VA, Bush is up 77,000 with under 5% reporting.

Good stuff in Florida--expect that to be taken off the undecided board in the next hour. Same with Virginia. And take the declaration of NJ for Kerry very lightly--it's probably just too darn close for a real decision there.


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